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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory:  (check updates)  This is one of the first advisories as Irma made landfall.

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0900 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR DOMINICA. 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... *ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SINT MAARTEN
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS

ISLANDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

* HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CUBA FROM MATANZAS PROVINCE EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO PROVINCE
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS

 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI FROM SOUTH OF LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS TO PORT-AU-PRINCE

 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. 

A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AS WELL AS CUBA...THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 62.6W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 914 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 160 KT WITH GUSTS TO 195 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE 40SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE 90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 210SE 90SW 380NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.

RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 62.6W AT 06/0900Z

AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 61.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.6N 64.6W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 67.3W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.6N 70.0W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.3N 72.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.5N 77.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 24.0N 80.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.5N 80.9W...

INLAND MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 62.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN (updates below)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#irma

http://meteotropicale.com/

By the time you read this post and view the vid these advisories change.  Irma is a meat grinder and Jose is right behind her!  Godspeed to all the souls in the path of this monster and Jose.

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